THE BALANCED DEMOGRAPHIC TRANSITION IN WEST BENGAL OF INDIA:
A ROADMAP FOR A DEVELOPED ECONOMY
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1956/jge.v21i3.798Keywords:
Religion, Hinduism, Islam, Buddhism, Economic Development, Population GrowthAbstract
West Bengal's religion is made up of a variety of beliefs. It is a home to the religions: Hinduism, Islam, Buddhism, Jainism, Sikhism, Judaism, Animism, and Zoroastrianism. Hinduism has the greatest population, followed by Islam in second place. Objective: The study aims to examine the demographic transition in West Bengal of India. Materials and Methods: The main source of population data is the censuses. The analysis makes use of the decadal population growth rate (PGR) and the compound population growth formula. Hindu and Muslim decadal growth percentages are computed and displayed along with a graphic presentation. The percentage of Muslims' relative increase in comparison to Hindus is displayed separately. The compound population growth rate for Muslims and Hindus is computed independently and displayed diagrammatically. Results and Discussion: The curve of census-wise percentage share for Hindus in the total population is downward sloping, but that for Muslims is upward sloping. As a result, both curves are getting closer to one another and will eventually intersect in the near future, when the share of the Muslim population is equal to or greater than that of the Hindu population. The compound population growth formula shows that the Muslims and Hindus will be equal after 130 years, normally. But the present situation tells that this will happen very early. Conclusion: Balanced demographic transition of the population is essential for promoting sustainable economic development.
References
1. Government of West Bengal. (n.d.). About West Bengal. West Bengal Government Portal. https://wb.gov.in/
2. Ministry of Home Affairs. (2011). Census of India 2011: Religion PCA. Office of the Registrar General, India. https://censusindia.gov.in/2011census/Religion_pca/RL-18.html
3. Sengupta, S. (2013). The Muslim minorities of West Bengal: A demographic study. In A. Raychaudhuri (Ed.), Religion and society in Eastern India (pp. 89–105). Kolkata: Institute of Historical Studies.
4. Census of India. (2011). Primary Census Abstract – Data Highlights: West Bengal. Office of the Registrar General & Census Commissioner, India. https://censusindia.gov.in/
5. Bajaj, J. (2016, April 19). The rise and rise of Muslims in West Bengal. Hindu Post. https://hindupost.in/politics/the-rise-and-rise-of-muslims-in-west-bengal/
6. Bajaj, J. K. (2018, December 4). Numbers of demography, stories of destiny. Swarajya Magazine. https://swarajyamag.com/magazine/numbers-of-demography-stories-of-destiny
7. Constitution of India. (1950). The Constitution of India. Government of India. https://legislative.gov.in/sites/default/files/COI.pdf
8. Government of India. (n.d.). India: The largest democracy. Ministry of External Affairs. https://www.mea.gov.in/
9. Thapar, R. (2007). Somanatha: The many voices of a history. New Delhi: Penguin Books.
10. Bhargava, R. (2006). The distinctiveness of Indian secularism. In T. N. Srinivasan (Ed.), The future of secularism (pp. 20–53). New Delhi: Oxford University Press.
11. Gosal, G. S. (1984). Population geography in India: Review and prospect. In R. C. Tiwari (Ed.), Population Geography (pp. 201–213). Delhi: Heritage Publishers.
12. Hassan, M. I. (2009). Population geography. New Delhi: Rawat Publications.
13. Chandna, R. C. (2016). Geography of Population: Concepts, Determinants and Patterns (Revised Edition). Kalyani Publishers.
14. Pathak, K. B., & Ram, F. (1998). Techniques of Demographic Analysis. Mumbai: Himalaya Publishing House.
15. Mandal, Ram Krishna (2024, September). Demographic transition in India Since 1951: A critical analysis (What will India’s future be regarding its population?). Journal of Global Economy, 20(3): 131-145. https://doi.org/10.1956/jge.v20i3 2358089ja
16. Mandal, Ram Krishna (2021, October). Trend and effect of population in India: A scenario analysis. Journal of Global Economy, 17(3): 129-139. https://doi.org/10.1956/jge.v17i3.628 2358090ja
17. Citizens for Justice and Peace. (2023, February 10). Distorting facts about Muslim population growth at the Digital Hindu Conclave. CJP. https://cjp.org.in/distorting-facts-about-muslim-population-growth-at-the-digital-hindu-conclave/
18. Chowdhury, N. C. (1977). Amar Desh Amar Shatak (pp. 26–27). Bharatiya Vidya Bhavan.
19. Das, N. R. (2011). Muslim Sashon o Bharatbarsa (712 CE–1947 CE). Tuhina Prakashani. (Internet Archive)
20. Durant, W., & Durant, A. (1975). The Story of Civilization (Vols. 1–11). Simon & Schuster. (Internet Archive)
21. Gabriel, B. (2008). They Must Be Stopped: Why We Must Defeat Radical Islam and How We Can Do It (p. 36). St. Martin’s Press. (Internet Archive)
22. Ghosal, J. (2021, April 19). Decoding the Muslim Vote in West Bengal. India Today. (India Today)
23. Ghosh, H. (2021, March 12). Condition of Muslims in West Bengal: A reality check ahead of West Bengal Assembly Elections 2021. Frontline – The Hindu. https://frontline.thehindu.com/the-nation/condition-of-muslims-in-west-bengal-a-reality-check-ahead-of-west-bengal-assembly-elections-2021/article33887344.ece
24. Hindu Post. (n.d.). The rise and rise of Muslims in West Bengal. HinduPost. Retrieved May 14, 2025, from https://hindupost.in/politics/the-rise-and-rise-of-muslims-in-west-bengal/
25. Hussain, N., Abbas, M. Z., & Owais, S. (2012). Muslims in West Bengal: Trend of Population Growth and Educational Status. Islam and Muslim Societies: A Social Science Journal, 5(1), 40–57. (Muslim Societies)
26. India Online Pages. (2021). Population of West Bengal – West Bengal population 2021. https://www.indiaonlinepages.com/population/west-bengal-population.html
27. India Census. (2022). West Bengal population 2022. https://www.indiacensus.net/states/west-bengal
28. Office of the Registrar General & Census Commissioner, India. (1951-2011). Census of India 2011: Provisional population totals. Ministry of Home Affairs, Government of India. https://censusindia.gov.in/
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Journal of Global Economy

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.